Downloading stock, SPY & VIX data, preparing features, training both models,
and building forecasts.
·30-day horizon · trained fresh on request
Model 1.1
Stock technicals
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Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price—
Model details
MAE—
RMSE—
R²—
Dir. Acc.—
Model 2.1
Market-aware · SPY + VIX
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Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price—
Model details
MAE—
RMSE—
R²—
Dir. Acc.—
Model 3
Ensemble · 1.1 + 2.1 + sentiment
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Predicted 30-day return
Predicted price—
Model details
M1.1 (45%)—
M2.1 (55%)—
Sentiment—
Headlines—
✓ All three predictions were saved because the ticker is on
your watchlist. Their results feed the model
accuracy summary under History once their 30-day horizon resolves.
Checking valuation...
Fair value range
Fundamentals-based estimate — a band, not a magic number.
Hype Check Premium
Hype Check is a Premium feature — upgrade to see whether
a stock's premium is earned by fundamentals or pure hype.
—/ 100 justified
News-sentiment layer · earned ≠ won't drop — this judges whether the premium is justified, not next-quarter price direction.
Warnings
Exit Discipline
Take-Profit Zone LowTake-Profit Zone HighTrim Suggestion
See the math
Current PriceEstimated Fair ValuePrice vs Fair ValueBear CaseBase CaseBull Case
ConfidenceDo Not Chase
Method Breakdown
DCFComparableHistorical
New to this? Beginner's guide to these signals
Fair-value label
Undervalued means the price sits below our fair-value estimate
(potentially cheap), Overvalued means above it (potentially
expensive), Fairly Valued is roughly in line, and
Insufficient Data means we couldn't estimate it confidently.
Confidence
How much to trust the estimate — High / Medium / Low — based on
how much clean financial data was available. Treat Low-confidence calls lightly.
Exit signal
Plain action guidance: from Buy Zone / Accumulate
(looks like a place to add), through Hold and
Watch Carefully / Do Not Chase, to
Trim / Exit Most (looks stretched).
Hype check
The Premium news-sentiment layer: it judges whether a stock's premium is
earned by fundamentals or pure hype —
not next-quarter price direction.
Momentum risk
Elevated or High means the stock has run up a
lot, fast — which can mean a bigger chance of a pullback.
Volatility
How much the price swings. Higher volatility means bigger moves both up and
down — more risk, not just more potential reward.